2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ„¢ļ…„ļ„˜ļ„®ļ„§ļ…„ļ„“ļ…†  ļ„Æļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ-2024
 ļ„Æļ…œļ„¢ļ„ø ļ„ 
    ļ„
(    ļ„-V)
 ļ„: ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ…œļ„® ļ„žļ…œļ„„ļ…‡ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›:100
:   ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„ ļ……ļ„© , ļ„›ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„Æļ…œļ„¢  ļ„  ļ„›ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„¹  ļ„Æļ…œļ„¢ļ„ø ļ„ 
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡   ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ  ļ„¢      ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›   
 ļ„-ļ„—
1.  ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„œļ…‡  ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ :
(i) ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„¶     ļ„¶ļ…‡ 
(ii) ļ„®  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ
(iii) ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ 1  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„
2. (ļ…”) ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²   ļ„® (MLE) ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„§    ? ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„øļ„µļ„
(OLS) ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µ ? ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ŗļ„«  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   
(ļ„‘) ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„®  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ…‹ī„” ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‡    ļ„ļ……ļ„© ļ„
    
 ļ„-
3. x² (ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„) ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
ļ„
  ?  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„ļ……ļ„© ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   
4. ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„  ļ„„ļ…„-ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‰ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ„› ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„² ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ    ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„ļ……ļ„©   
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
 ļ„-
5. (ļ…”) 500 ļ…ƒļ„øļ„‘ļ„›ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , 280 ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„œ ļ„©  ļ„¶ļ…‡  ļ„— ļ„ļ„—      ļ„œ ļ„©
 ļ„¶ļ…‡   
ļ„
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„³ļ…œļ„®  ļ„» ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„   ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ ?
(ļ„‘) Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„•ļ„Æļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ ļ„    
6. ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ„¹ ļ„¶ ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,  ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„œļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‡:

ļ„’ļ„› 
  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ
ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„ 
ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„  
1
10
15
90
2
12
14
108
5% ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ '  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ  ļ„     ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„  
-ļ„§ļ…„
7. ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„ ļ„›ļ…œļ„Æļ„®ļ…„ ļ„    ļ„ļ„§ ļ„  ļ„„  ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ   ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ   ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„   ļ„  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„
 ļ„›ļ…œļ„Æļ„®ļ…„    ļ„ļ„§ ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ…‡  ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ„› ļ„ '   ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ…œļ„¬ļ„ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ (  ļ„ )
 ļ„•ļ„©  ļ„¶ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„µļ„›   ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‡ ļ„ļ„— :
 ļ„ļ„§ 1
 ļ„ļ„§ 2
 ļ„ļ„§ 3
 ļ„ļ„§ 4
20
19
21
15
23
15
19
17
18
17
20
16
17
20
17
18
16
16
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
 ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®  ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„›   ļ„ļ„§  ļ„„  ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„» ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ 
8. ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„©  ?  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„­   ļ„ '   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  
    ANOVA  ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ 
ļ„¢ļ…„ļ„˜ļ„®ļ„§ļ…„ļ„“ļ…† ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„Æļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ-2024
 ļ„Æļ…œļ„¢ļ„ø ļ„ 
    ļ„
(    ļ„-V)
 ļ„: ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ…œļ„® ļ„žļ…œļ„„ļ…‡ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›:100
:   ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„ ļ……ļ„© , ļ„›ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„Æļ…œļ„¢  ļ„  ļ„›ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„¹  ļ„Æļ…œļ„¢ļ„ø ļ„ 
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡   ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ  ļ„¢      ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›   
 ļ„-ļ„—
1.  ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„œļ…‡  ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ :
(i) ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„¶     ļ„¶ļ…‡ 
(ii) ļ„®  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ
(iii) ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ 1  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„
ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ:ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„® ļ„„ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æ ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  : ļ„“ļ…žļ„›    ļ„©ļ…„
  ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›    ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„µļ„»ļ…žļ„ŗ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„›ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„¹  ļ…ƒļ„µļ„»ļ…‚   
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„±ļ…œļ„¬ ļ„§ļ…žļ„±ļ…‚ ,  ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ    ļ„¹ļ…žļ„›   
ļ„
ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„µļ…œļ„Ŗ 
ļ„
ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¶ļ…§ ; ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ„ŗļ……ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ļ…‚ļ„, ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„©ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ„±ļ…†ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ '   ļ„Æļ…Šļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„¶ļ„›ļ……ļ„¶    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®ļ…„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚
ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®ļ…„   ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„•ļ„» ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„    ļ„•ļ„»  ļ„ŗļ…žļ„  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ļ…‡ ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' "
ļ„
ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œ" ,  ļ„•ļ„»   ļ„¶ļ„” , ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„“ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ     ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,

ļ„
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„„ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ…‚ļ„   ļ„›ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ļ„ļ…‡: ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-   -
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
  ,  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ,  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ī„” ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„›, ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ„»ļ…žļ„¶  ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„  ļ„³ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„ŗļ…†ļ„ŗ ļ„»ļ…‹ļ„©ļ„ļ…‡ī„”
(i) ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-  ļ„¶  -  ļ„¶ : ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„©  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ„®
ļ„’ļ„™     ļ„‘ļ…žļ„ļ…‡  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„” ļ„³ļ…œļ„® ļ„¶ļ„™ 
ļ„
ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„     ļ…ƒļ„›   
ļ„
 ļ„³ļ„µļ…„ļ„¾ļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„øļ„µļ…„  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
   ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„
ļ„“ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„¢ ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­     ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ', 
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ„° ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¶ļ„ ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…„ ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡   ļ„“ļ„»
ļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„øļ„µļ…„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
  -  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ„„ļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
  ļ„“ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡, 
ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„® ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¹ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
ļ„›ļ…ˆļ„¬ļ…ƒļ„µļ„Ŗ   - ļ„•ļ…žļ„Æļ„µ ļ„øļ…žļ„¶,    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ī„” ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-     
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-   ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  (ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„øļ„µļ…„ ) ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ
ļ„øļ…žļ„­  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ,  ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ 
ļ„
ī„” "" ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
   
ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
 , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„    ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ (ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„°ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ„„  ļ…ƒļ„›
    
ļ„
) ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬  ļ„¶ļ„”   
, ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…„ļ„¹    
ļ„

ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„³ļ„µļ…„ļ„¾ļ…‚ļ„     ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ 
ļ„Æļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„ ļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 ; 
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„©ļ…‚ ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„»   
ļ„
 , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„
 ļ„“ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡, ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„©ļ…‚   -  ļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„øļ„µļ…„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ļ„æļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ -   ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚  -   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„øļ…œļ„§
  ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„µļ„’ļ„ (ļ„Æļ…†ļ„”ļ…‚ļ„) ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„øļ…œļ…ƒļ„§ļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€    ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Æļ…†ļ„”ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
  ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„

ļ„
 ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬  
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ :
• ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-  ļ„¶ :ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¹ļ…‚ ( ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„žļ„„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©ļ…‚) ' ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„® ļ„›ļ…ˆļ„¬ļ…ƒļ„µļ„Ŗ  
• -  ļ„¶ :ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ (  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ) ' ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µ  
ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„©  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ŗļ…ļ„œļ…‚  : ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ , 
 ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¹ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ ; -  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› -ļ„˜ļ„ļ„ļ„¶  ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ,
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
(ii) ļ„®  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ:   ļ„¶ ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ
ļ„‘ļ…žļ„ļ…‡,   ļ„«ļ…‚ļ„      ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡,  ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…‡ , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ 
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ŗ  ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»  , "! ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¹ļ…žļ„›ļ…„   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   "
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
 ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„      ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬  ļ„øļ…žļ„¶ ļ„¶ļ…‰ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
    ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„ŗļ…žļ„   '   ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ 
ļ„
ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡ī„”
 ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ, ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„ŗļ„›ļ…‹ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ' ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µ   
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„Ŗļ…ƒļ„»ļ„Ŗ ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  50 ,   ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„ø ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ (α) 5% , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ
ļ„“ļ„»   :
• ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-   (ļ„•ļ…žļ„     ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ) ļ„¶ļ„”, 60 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„•ļ…žļ„Æļ„µ    ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„’
 
• -   ļ„¶ļ„” (ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡     ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ), 40 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ 60 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­  
ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„’  
  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’   "  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ" ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
 , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ…‡ļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„› 
 ļ„øļ…‚ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„’ , ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗ  
ļ„
 ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬   
 ļ„¶ļ„”,  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„¶ ļ„£ļ…œļ„§ļ…‚  - ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…žļ„¹ļ„„ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ…‡ļ„Ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„› 
  ļ„¶ļ„”   
(iii) ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„: ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„¢  ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„  
 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ    ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„    ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„„ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„¶ļ„”
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„›      ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„ '  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡   ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„
ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ :  I ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„   II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ī„”
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„: ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ ļ„‘ļ„¶ 
  ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„    ,  
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„Æļ„µļ„”ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡   ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„µļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡
'  ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 ,   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„µļ…ƒļ„»ļ„Ŗ ļ„µļ…‚ļ„»ļ„ļ…„ļ„µ  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„•ļ„¬ļ…Œ   ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ 
ļ„
 ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬   ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ
ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„ŗļ…žļ„  
     ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  :     ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„    
ļ„
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚, 
  ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„ļ…‚ ļ„›ļ…žļ„Øļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ„›ļ…œļ„³  , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„    ļ„¶ļ„”

ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ (α) ļ„ŗļ…‰ļ…žļ„„  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„,  0.05 ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ 5% ļ„“ļ„» ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ 
 ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
   ļ„¹ļ„±ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ   5% ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
 ļ„¶ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ļ„µ 
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„: ļ„œļ……ļ…œļ…ƒļ„£ļ„’ ļ„³ļ…ļ„›
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
 ļ„•ļ„¶ļ„„ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…„ļ„¹    ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„¹ļ…žļ„›ļ…„ ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„   ,  
ļ„
ļ„•ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„µļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ 
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„ŗļ…†ļ„œļ„³  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„•ļ„¬ļ…Œ   ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ 
ļ„
 ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„µļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡  ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ 
   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„³ļ„µļ…„ļ„¾ļ…‚ļ„    ,    ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„ļ…‚
ļ„›ļ…žļ„Øļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» 
ļ„
, ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„   ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ β 
 ļ„ļ„”  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„•ļ…žļ„  β    ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
 ļ„Æļ…„ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ļ……ļ„’ļ„•ļ„©  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚
ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡ ,  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¢ļ„›ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚  I ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ……ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„Ŗ   ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„   ļ„„ļ…„ļ„ ļ…‚
ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡ 
  ļ„¶ļ„”:
• ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ (α):ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ„» 
ļ„
 ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ "ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„, ļ„“ļ„» ļ„›ļ…œļ„³  !" ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„©ļ…‚ī„” ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ

• ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ (β):"
ļ„
, ļ„“ļ„» ļ„›ļ…œļ„³ 
ļ„
!" ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„©ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„›ļ…œļ„³  
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ 
ļ„“ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ……ļ„¶ļ„® ļ„¶ļ…žļ„²ļ„©ļ…‚ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„µļ…žļ„ŗļ…„ '  ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„  α ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ„„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©ļ…‚ ( ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
)   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ„„ļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
    ļ„Æļ…„ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ( II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„) ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ļ……ļ„’ļ„•ļ„©  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ

ļ„
  α ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ…‡ ļ„Æļ…„ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©ļ…‚   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚     
 ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„œļ„³ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æ ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æā€”ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-/- ,  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ,  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I/II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ā€”ļ„“ļ…žļ„› 
ļ„„ļ…†ļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…žļ„„  ļ„„ļ……ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„   
1.    : 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¹ļ…‚ (ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ) ļ„øļ…žļ„¶ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œ   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ( 
) ļ„øļ…žļ„¶?
2.   ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„­  :  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡  ļ„“ļ…œļ„®ļ…‡  
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„•ļ„»  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬  
3. ļ„ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ……ļ„¶ļ„® ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„œļ„³: ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ( I ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„  II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„)  
  ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„ø  ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ   
  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„®  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„     ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„  
ļ„

  ,  ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„Æļ„¬ļ…œļ„§ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ  ,  ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
    ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„,  ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„¢ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„±ļ…žļ„­,   ļ„±ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„‘ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ 
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„Æļ…œļ„®ļ…‡ ' ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡ 
ļ„
 - ļ„“ļ„» ,   ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„®
 ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„©ļ…‡   
• ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-  ļ„¶  -  ļ„¶  ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„­ļ…‚ļ„µļ„Ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡ ļ„¶ļ…žļ„²ļ„©ļ…‚ 
• ļ„®  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µļ„¼ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…‡  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡ ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ    
• ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ I  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ II ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„øļ…‚ļ„™ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ„ø ,  ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„œļ„³ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„®  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ……ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„Ŗ   
ļ„“ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„»ļ……ļ„®ļ„µļ„³ļ…œļ„¬   ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„ ļ„»ļ…‰ā€”ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„ļ„µļ…‚ļ„®ļ…„  , , 
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…„ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ   ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„Ŗļ…‚ , 
ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€   ļ„Øļ…œļ„  
 ļ„±ļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„›   ļ…ƒļ„Æļ…žļ„”ļ…‡        
2. (ļ…”) ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²   ļ„® (MLE) ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„§    ? ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„øļ„µļ„
(OLS) ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µ ? ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ŗļ„«  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   
(ļ„‘) ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„®  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ…‹ī„” ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‡    ļ„ļ……ļ„© ļ„
    
ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ:  ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›    ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„µļ„»ļ…žļ„ŗ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„›ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„¹  ļ…ƒļ„µļ„»ļ…‚   
ļ„ŗļ……ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ļ…‚ļ„ ( ļ„Æļ……ļ„’ļ„“ļ…œļ„„)  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ,   ļ„›ļ…œļ„³ ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„Æļ…žļ„”ļ…‡  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„øļ„Ŗ  
 ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©ļ…‚    
ļ„
ļ„ŗļ……ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ļ…‚ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ "" ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„  
ļ„›ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„¹   ( ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„ )  , 
ļ„
ļ„Æļ……ļ…žļ„”ļ„¬ļ…‡ : "ļ„“ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„ŗļ……ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡
, ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ„æļ…„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„øļ„Ŗ 
ļ„
 ?" ( ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ 
ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„ ) ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ…‚ļ„” ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„•ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„µ    ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡ ,  ļ„•ļ„» ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„µļ„©ļ„®ļ…„ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ 
ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  
 ļ„’ļ„™  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„®   ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…žļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„•ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„µ : (a) ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ 
(MLE)  ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„øļ„µļ„ (OLS) ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‚  (b) ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾ļ…‡  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ, ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‡   ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ…‚ļ„  
ó·Š†ó·Š‡ļ„² ļ„ (a): ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²   ļ„® (MLE)  OLS ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ
1. ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²   ļ„® (MLE)  ?
• MLE ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚   ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„Æļ„¬ļ…œļ„§ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  
• ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µ  : ļ„•ļ„»  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ…‹  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‡ ļ„ļ„—  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ "ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„øļ„Ŗ" 
ļ„


2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
•  ļ„¹ļ„±ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , MLE ļ„Æļ……ļ…žļ„”ļ„¬ļ…‚ : " ļ„“ļ„» ļ„•ļ„»  ļ„Æļ……ļ„’ļ„“ļ…œļ„„   ļ„³ļ…Š ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„, ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ„æļ…‡
 ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„©  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­  ?"
-- :
1. ļ„³ļ…œļ„® ļ„¶ļ„™ 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„›ļ…‚ 10  ļ„•ļ„”ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’  7 ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µ  
2. 
ļ„
ļ„»ļ…‰ļ…žļ„§ļ„ŗ (p)  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾ļ…‚ ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©ļ…‚ ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ 
3. 10 ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ 7 ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„©  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚    ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ 
4. MLE ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ : p  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ…‹   ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­  
5.   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , p = 0.7 MLE 
 ļ„¶ļ„”, MLE   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„•ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„–ļ„®  ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„  ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ„“ļ„»    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‡ ļ„ļ„—  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ 
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ī„”
2.    (OLS)  ?
• OLS ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„   ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ…ƒļ„µļ„ļ„µļ…‰ļ„¹ļ„® ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ 
• ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„©  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„‘ļ„®ļ……ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„Ŗ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µļ…‚ļ„   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ„„ļ…‚ 
ļ„Æļ…‰ļ„µļ…‚ļ„³ļ…„ļ„„ļ„µļ…‚ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 
•  ļ„µļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„› ļ…ƒļ„µļ„ļ„µļ…‰ļ„¹ļ„® ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , OLS ļ„•ļ„»  ļ„¶ļ…žļ„²ļ„¬ļ…‚    ļ„Æļ……ļ„’ļ„“ļ…œļ„„ļ…‚ļ„   
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„¶ļ…œļ„±ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ…„ ļ„¬ļ…†ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„  
 : 
ļ„
  ļ„žļ…œļ…ƒļ„„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„²ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„±ļ…‚ļ„©ļ…„  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„“ļ…žļ„›
 ļ…ƒļ„°ļ…žļ„„   , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ OLS   ļ„“ļ…œļ„„ļ„µļ„ŗļ…‰ļ„Æļ„„  ļ„ ļ…‹ļ„© ļ„›ļ„µļ…‡ļ„ļ…‚   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„‘ļ„®ļ……ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„Ŗ
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„  
3. MLE  OLS ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…†
 ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„øļ„µļ„ (OLS)

ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‡ ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„Æļ„¬ļ…œļ„§    ļ„øļ„µļ„
ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ 

ļ„¶ ļ„ļ…†  
ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ„Ŗ
ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '  ļ…ƒļ„µļ„ļ„µļ…‰ļ„¹ļ„® ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„§ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„
ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„øļ„µļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
ļ„­   ļ„
ļ„³ļ…œļ„® ļ„¶ļ„™ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '
ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„µ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®  ļ„øļ…œļ„§ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„

ļ„’ļ„•ļ„„ļ„Æļ……ļ…žļ„„
ļ„ļ…ļ„ŗ- ļ„­ļ…‚ļ„µļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„Ŗļ…ƒļ„»ļ„Ŗ  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ
 ļ„µļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„› ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ  ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ļ„µ
 
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…†
 ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„øļ„µļ„ (OLS)

ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ„ŗļ…„ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡ ļ„øļ„µļ„
ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ 
 ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’
"ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ„æļ…„
  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„Øļ…œļ„ 
ļ…ƒļ„°ļ…žļ„„  ?"
4. MLE  OLS ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›  
ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¶ļ„ ļ„ŗļ„Æ ļ„ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„›,  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„øļ…œļ„§ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„ļ„”ļ„’ļ„ ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„µļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„› ļ…ƒļ„µļ„ļ„µļ…‰ļ„¹ļ„®   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,
OLS  MLE ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡  ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ 
ļ„ļ…ƒļ„©ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '   ļ„‘ļ„­ļ…„ļ„® ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­    
 ļ„¶ļ„”, OLS ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ MLE  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹  ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’   
ó·ˆ·ó·ˆøó·ˆ¹ó·ˆŗó·ˆ»ó·ˆ¼ļ„² ļ„ (ļ„‘):  ļ„®      ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‡    ļ„ļ……ļ„©
1.  ļ„®    
•  ļ„® ļ„¶ļ„ ļ„•ļ„©  ļ„¶ :
o  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡    ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„øļ„µļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›
ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„“ļ„³, , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ 
o ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ…žļ„›    ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„»  ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µ  
o :  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ xˉ\bar{x}  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ μ   
• ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬  :
o ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡ ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ  ' ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ…†  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„   
ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ī„”
o :      xˉ=52\bar{x} = 52 , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ 52 μ  

  :ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ„‘ļ…œļ„¢ļ„® ,  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„•ļ„»    ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
 ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…žļ„ļ„µļ…„ ()  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„‘ļ…œļ„¢ļ„®    ' ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
2. ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‡    ļ„ļ……ļ„©
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‡    
ļ„
 ļ„ļ……ļ„©    ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„•ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„   :
(ļ…”) ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œļ„Ŗ
• ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚    ļ„‘ļ„®ļ……ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„Ŗ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ…‡    ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
• :  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ  
• ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
? ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗļ„®, ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…‡ ' ļ„Æļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
(ļ„‘)  
• ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  , ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ-ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ     , ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ…‡
 ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
• : ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„›ļ…‡  , ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…‚ļ„    ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ…„ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚  
ļ„Æļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
• ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„®? ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„›    , 
ļ„
 '    
(c) 
• ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ  ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„© ļ„øļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ,  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚   ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
• :    ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ ,  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„žļ…žļ„„ - 
, ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ 
• ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ? ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„»   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
() 
• ļ„“ļ…žļ„›     ļ„“ļ„»    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„     ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ 

• : ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  
• ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„®? ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„›     
ļ„
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ī„”
(e)  ļ„¬ļ„ļ…„ (ļ…ƒļ„øļ„»  )
• ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‚  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„     
• ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
? ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„ļ……ļ…œļ„£ļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„µ   ļ„¬ļ……ļ„®ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„»ļ…‚ļ„µļ„› 
ļ„
 
󼩺󼩻 ļ„® ļ„¶ļ„ ļ„•ļ„©  ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„©ļ…„  
  ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„µļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾   ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…‡ ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„µļ„»ļ…‚ :
• ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œļ„Ŗ : , ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗļ„®, ļ„±ļ……ļ…žļ„¶' ' ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡ 
•   :ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…œļ„®ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚  
ļ„
ļ„ ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 , ļ„•ļ„» ļ„±ļ……ļ…žļ„¶'      ļ„“ļ„›ļ…žļ„¦ļ…‡ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡
ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡ 
•  :  ļ…ƒļ„œļ…œļ„§ļ…‡  
ļ„
, ļ„ŗļ„ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ„¦ļ…‡  
•  :
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…‡  ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„Ŗļ…„      ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  
•  ļ„¬ļ„ļ…„:  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ„©ļ…‚  ,  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„ļ……ļ…œļ„£ļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„µ 
ļ„
ī„”
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‚  ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„»ļ……ļ„®ļ„µļ„³ļ…œļ„¬ ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„µļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾ ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ —, , ļ„²ļ„µļ…‹ļ„ŗļ…‡ļ„³ļ…œļ„¬, 

ó¹¶“ó¹¶”ó¹¶•ó¹¶–ó¹¶—ó¹¶˜ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„
ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„“ļ„›ļ…žļ„¦ļ…‡ ļ„±ļ…œļ„®ļ…§ļ…„ļ„—:
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
• ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²   ļ„® (MLE)ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„      ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗ  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‡
ļ„ļ„—  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„øļ„Ŗ  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
•  ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„øļ„µļ„ (OLS)ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„   ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„žļ…žļ„„  , 
 ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„“ļ„» MLE   ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ 
•      ļ„®:ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„“ļ„³ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ; ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  
ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„   
ļ„
 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ   
• ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‡  :ļ„•ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ, , ,      
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , MLE  OLS ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„µļ„©ļ„®ļ…„ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„µļ„»ļ…žļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„»ļ…žļ„¶   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ŗļ…†ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„ , ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ
ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©  ļ„•ļ„»    ļ„•ļ„»   ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‚  ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©  ļ„•ļ„»
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚   ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ…‚ļ„” ļ„øļ…žļ„¶   , ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‚  ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„µ   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ„•ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„µ  
 ļ„-
3. x² (ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„) ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
ļ„
  ?  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„ļ……ļ„© ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   
ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ:ļ„ ļ…„- (χ²) ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
  ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¢ļ…„   ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„    ļ„Æļ…‰ļ„„ļ„µļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  
ļ„›ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„¹  ļ…ƒļ„µļ„»ļ…‚   ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’   ,  
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„Æļ…„ļ„±ļ…œļ„­ ļ…ƒļ„Æļ…žļ„”ļ…‡ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›
ļ„ļ……ļ„Æļ„Ŗ   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®ļ…„  ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„¶ļ„›ļ……ļ„¶  ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Æļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‡ : ļ„•ļ„»  ļ„¶ļ…žļ„²ļ„©ļ…‚,
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„Ŗļ…Œ
 ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„­ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ , ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  χ² (ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„)   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚

   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„“ļ„»    ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„© ļ„‘ļ„®ļ……ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„Ŗ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„®ļ…„  
    ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„‘ļ„¶ļ…žļ„-ļ„«ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„©  , ļ„“ļ„» ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…œļ„ļ„¶ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ,  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„øļ„µļ„   ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ„»     ļ…ƒļ„›  
 ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„® 
ļ„
  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„Æļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„  ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  
ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ„Æļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ ,  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„¶ļ…‰ 
ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„© ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„›ī„”
  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æ
ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…ˆ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„Æļ…žļ„”ļ…‡ ļ„ ļ…žļ„¶ļ…„ļ„—ī„” ļ„ ļ…„- ļ„øļ…œļ„§ 20
ļ„
   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„    
ļ„›ļ…œļ„³ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„•ļ„» ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„ ļ„© ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„­ļ…‚ļ„ļ„Ŗļ„›
      ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ,  
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„›ļ…‡ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 100  ļ„•ļ„¶ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„

ļ„
50 ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µ  50 ļ„Æļ…†ļ„”ļ…‚ļ„       ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 47 ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µ  53 ļ„Æļ…†ļ„”ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„¶
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ   ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„  , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„›ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ ?
   ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‡ ļ„ŗļ„øļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„ ļ…„-  ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ļ„µ 
ļ„ļ…ƒļ„©ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ', χ² ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„   ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„—ļ„±ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„›ļ„¬ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  :
1. ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…Šļ„§ļ„µļ„§   : Z₁, Zā‚‚, ..., Zā‚™ ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‡ ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„—ļ„±ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„     ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„
 ļ„øļ…œļ„§ (ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ 0, ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„® 1)     ļ„“ļ„»    "ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„§ļ…œļ„
" 
2. ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…„ļ„›ļ„µļ„®  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ:  
ļ„
ļ„“ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ    ļ„øļ„µļ„    ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„
ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ„›ļ…žļ„¦ļ…‡  , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„®ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…‚ :
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„®ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ , χ², n ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„   (df)   ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§    
 ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„ļ„— ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ   ļ„„ļ……ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’
  ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ 
 ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , χ² ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„   ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„²ļ„„ļ„›ļ„©ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  
ļ„ ļ…„- ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„Ŗ  ļ„
, ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„ ļ…„- ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…„ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„–ļ„¹ļ„®  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ…‚ļ„   , ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-ļ„“ļ…žļ„› , ļ„“ļ…žļ„› 
ļ„’    ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„:
1. ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³  ļ„’ļ„› 
ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…„ (ļ„ŗļ…žļ„¢ļ…‡-ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…„)   ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ„° ļ„ļ…‰ļ„µ-ļ„®ļ…‰ļ„ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„ø ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ (χ² ≄ 0) ļ„¶ļ„”
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ  ļ„ļ„”  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¢  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
 : ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ļ„   , ļ„“ļ„» 
  
ļ„
 
• ļ„”ļ…‹ļ„„ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„   (df) ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ļ„æļ…„  
• ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ-ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„øļ„­ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ , ļ„øļ…œļ„§    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„   ļ„“ļ…žļ„› 
ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…„ ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ļ„© ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ ļ„Æļ…Šļ„¬ļ…„ 
2.   ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„
ν  ļ„¬ļ„µļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„”ļ„’ļ„ ļ„ļ„”ļ„’ļ„  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ (df), ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„›ļ…ˆļ„¬ļ„µļ…„  ļ„“ļ„» 
ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„  ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„—ļ„±ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ„    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚

2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
•  ļ„¶ļ„”,  χ² 5 ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„ ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„µļ„³ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ '  , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ df = 5
• ļ…ƒļ„øļ„»ļ…‚ļ„µļ„› ļ„•ļ„Æļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„µļ……ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„øļ„„ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ,
ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„Æļ…‰ļ„µļ…‚ļ„³ļ…„ļ„„ļ„µļ…‚ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©ļ…‚ī„”
3. ļ„³ļ…žļ„­ļ„³ ļ„®  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› χ² ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„³ļ…žļ„­ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„®   ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„   ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ :
ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„¬ļ……ļ…žļ„ļ„©ļ…„ :
ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '   ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» 
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„—ļ„±ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„ļ„©ļ„Ŗļ…„ 
 ļ„øļ…œļ„§   ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ  
4. ļ„˜ļ„§ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„„ļ…ƒļ„øļ„„ļ…„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„Ŗ
ļ„ ļ…„- ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…„ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„–ļ„¹ļ„®   ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„ŗļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…†ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„˜ļ„§ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„„ļ…ƒļ„øļ„„ļ…„ :
•     ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„  , χ²₁ ν₁ df    χ²₂ ν₂ df  , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„
ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ν₁ + ν₂ df  ļ„øļ…œļ…ƒļ„§ļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ :
ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„ŗļ„µļ…‹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„•ļ„Æļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ…„ 
5. -ļ„¢ļ„®ļ„µļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„ ļ„°ļ…œļ„›ļ„¹ļ„® (MGF)
ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› -ļ„¢ļ„®ļ„µļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„ ļ„°ļ…œļ„›ļ„¹ļ„® (MGF) ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ,  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  
  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„•ļ…žļ„  ļ„Æļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚   ļ„’ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ν df   χ²  MGF :
ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„°ļ…œļ„›ļ„¹ļ„® ļ„ļ…ƒļ„©ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„³ļ…žļ„­ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„®, ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
  
6. ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„›ļ„–ļ„®ļ…‰ļ…ž   ļ„›ļ„µļ„„ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„ŗ
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
• ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…„: ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„ŗļ…žļ„¢ļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…„ , ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…„ = √(8/ν)  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ-ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ν  ,
ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…„ ļ„žļ„„ļ„¬ļ…„ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ 
• ļ„›ļ……ļ„µļ„„ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„ŗ: ļ„›ļ……ļ„µļ„„ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„ŗ "" ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   χ² ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„›ļ……ļ„µļ„„ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„ŗ = 12/ν , ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ-
ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ df  , ļ„øļ…œļ„§   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…„ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„œļ…‚ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
ļ„˜ļ„Æļ„¶ļ…„ļ„›ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„®  
ļ„’ļ„™  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„”ļ„—ī„” ļ„“ļ…žļ„›     ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›
ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„Æļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„©ļ…‚ ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ļ„’ļ„     ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µļ…‚ļ„   ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚
 ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„Æļ„› 20 ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„§ A, 30 ļ„ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„§ B,  50 ļ„ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„§ C      
ļ„Æļ…„ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ,  ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„    ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„ ļ…„-  ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ…† , ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„Æļ„›
   ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‡ ļ„ļ„— ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„®  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€  ļ„³ļ…ļ„›ļ…‡   
 ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„, χ² ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„“ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® :
1. ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„¬ļ„µļ……ļ„ŗļ„Ŗļ…„  - ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„­ļ…‚ļ„ļ„Ŗļ„› ļ„øļ…œļ„§  
 
2.    ļ„Æļ„µļ…„ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’- ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„© ļ„¶ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„›   ļ„¹ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„©ļ…„ļ„±ļ…žļ„­  ļ„ŗļ„±ļ…œļ„­ļ„Ŗ , ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„„ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…„ļ„®
ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„µļ„©ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
3. ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„® ļ„¶ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„ø  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„¶-   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , χ²  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„® ļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾ļ…‚ ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„© ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„    
 ļ„©ļ…„  
 ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…Šļ„§ļ„µļ„§   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ŗļ…œļ„ļ…„ļ„Ŗļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„‘ļ„›ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„ļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ',  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„­ļ……ļ„® 
ļ„
  (, ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ   )  ļ„­ļ……ļ„® ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ„øļ„µļ„      (  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  )  ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›
 ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„›    - ļ„“ļ„» χ²  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„ļ…„ļ„Ŗļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„ļ„©ļ„Ŗļ…„ ( ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„) '
ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µ  , ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…œļ„°ļ„®ļ…„ , ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…„, ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ……ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„Ŗ     ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…œļ„°ļ„®ļ…„
 ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   , ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„ŗļ„µļ…‹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
  ļ„’ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­  ļ„“ļ„» , ,  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„› 
   ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„  ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„—ļ„±ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  , ļ„“ļ„» ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ    
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„    ļ„Æļ…‰ļ„„ļ„µļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„’ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ„ļ……ļ„© - ļ„³ļ…žļ„­ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„®, ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®, ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…‡ļ„Æļ„©, ,   ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚ - ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„±ļ„»ļ……ļ„Æļ…žļ„œļ…„    
ļ„
 
χ² ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„²ļ„„ļ„›ļ„©ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ     ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ,   ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ -ļ„ŗļ…œļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„µ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ…†    ļ„±ļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„›   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µļ…„ļ„ø
ļ„ŗļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚      
ļ„ ļ…„-ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„øļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , -   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¢ļ…‡
  ļ„•ļ„§ļ…„ļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ,   ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„­ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ , 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„”
4. ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„  ļ„„ļ…„-ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‰ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ„› ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„² ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ    ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„ļ……ļ„©   
ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ: ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›     ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„“ļ…†ļ„®ļ…„ļ„øļ„µļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„„ļ…„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„•ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„”  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾ļ…‚ ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„© ļ„¶ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„±ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ…žļ„›,
ļ„•ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„µļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
 ,  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„•ļ„» ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‚  ļ„¶ļ…Šļ„¬ļ…‡   ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ…ļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
 :
ļ„•ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„    ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„²ļ„µļ…‹ļ„ŗļ…‡ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„  ,
ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ  ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚  ?
ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„¶ļ„›ļ……ļ„¶  ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„Ŗļ…„  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‚, ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¶ļ…„ļ„‘ļ„³  ļ„ļ…‹ļ„ŗļ…‡ļ„„
(ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…‡ "ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„"     ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’)    ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡ 
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„šļ„¾ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„ļ„—, ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ  ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ  ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„ 
ļ„®ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„¦ļ„©ļ…‚ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
ļ„’ļ„™  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„®  ļ„Æļ…„ļ„ļ„„ : ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ , ļ…ƒļ„°ļ„µ  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ
ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ,  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ„»   ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ…œļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„

ó·Š†ó·Š‡ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„  ļ„„ļ…„ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‰ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ„›  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„² 
ļ„³ļ…œļ„® ļ„¶ļ„™   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   X1,X2,…,Xn   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗļ„¬ļ…‚
ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ μ\mu  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ σ2 
•    ļ„“ļ„» :
•  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„“ļ„» :
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
,   ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„® σ2\sigma^2 ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„©ļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚, ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ 
ļ„
zstatistic  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ   ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„:
 ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„  ļ„øļ…œļ„§    
  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ…œļ„¬ļ„ļ…„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , σ2  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚   ļ„¶ļ„” 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ŗļ…Šļ„Æļ„¶ ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„˜ļ„ļ„ŗ S2S^2
  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„” ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„  tstatistic ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ :
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ (n – 1) ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„     ļ„“ļ…žļ„› tļ„øļ…œļ„§    
ó·ˆ·ó·ˆøó·ˆ¹ó·ˆŗó·ˆ»ó·ˆ¼ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‰ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ„›ļ„ŗ   ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
?
• ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ    ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…‚ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„  ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„˜ļ„ļ„ŗ S2 σ2  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‚  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ,
 ztest  ļ„›ļ…œļ„³  
•  ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„ŗļ…Šļ„Æļ„¶    ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ σ\sigma ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ SS    
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
 
•   ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…ƒļ„ ļ„Ŗļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ…œļ„³ļ…‡ļ„øļ…‚ļ„µ ,  ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„²ļ„µļ…‹ļ„ŗļ…‡ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„

ļ„
 
 ļ„¶ļ„”, tstatistic ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„     : "ļ„³ļ…‰ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ 
 
ļ„
,  ļ„³ļ…Š   ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„›ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ļ„ļ…‚  ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…ƒļ„ ļ„Ŗļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„›ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ļ„ļ…‚ī„”"
ó½€¼ó½€½ó½€ó½ó½€¾ó½‚ó½€æó½ƒļ„øļ…œļ„§  
tstatistic  ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…„ļ„— ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
1. ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„­ļ…‚ļ„ļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ, 
ļ„
 ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„›:
2.  ,  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„ ļ„ŗļ„›ļ„øļ…‡ļ„‘ļ„µ ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„±ļ…œļ…ƒļ„­ļ„Ŗ :
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
3. ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„› Z  S2 ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ 
4. ļ„“ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„¶ļ…‚ , tstatistic ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’   :
ļ„“ļ„»  (n – 1) ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„    tļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ  
ó·‡®ó·‡­ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„  ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„ļ……ļ„©
 ļ„’ļ„™ tstatistic  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„øļ…œļ„§   
1. 
• tļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„¶ļ„ļ„²ļ„  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„Ŗļ…„ , ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„¶ļ„›ļ……ļ„¶ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„  ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„ī„”
•    ļ…ƒļ„›    ļ„²ļ„„ļ„›ļ„©ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚  
2. ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ
•  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ v>1 ļ„¶ļ„”, tļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„³ļ…žļ„­ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„® 0 
• ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› tstatistic ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ…‡ ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ μ\mu   ļ„›ļ…ˆļ„¬ļ…ƒļ„µļ„Ŗ 
3. ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ
• v>2 ļ„¶ļ„”, tļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„“ļ„» :
• ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„® ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„™ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„˜ļ„ļ„ŗ 1 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…‚ ,  tdistribution  ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„°ļ…‰ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’
 
• vā†’āˆž   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ 1   ļ„Æļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„ ļ„¬ļ…„ ,  tļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„  ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
4. ļ„›ļ……ļ„µļ„„ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„ŗ ( ļ„)
• ļ„„ļ…„-ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…„ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„–ļ„¹ļ„® ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ  ļ„Æļ…†ļ„”ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ 
•    ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
• ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   
ļ„
 , ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ   ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„  
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
5.   ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ (df)
• tļ„øļ…œļ„§    v=nāˆ’1 ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µ  
•  df , ļ„øļ…œļ„§   ļ„ ļ…ļ„æļ…„ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
• ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ-ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ df  , ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„øļ…œļ„§   ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
6.   ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  
• ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ - : ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„“ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„”ļ„’ļ„ ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µ 
ļ„

• ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ 
ļ„
ļ„•ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„” ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ŗļ…Šļ„„ļ…„ļ„³ļ…„ļ„„ļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„“ļ…œļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡  ļ„µļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ 
7. ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„® ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ
• ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„   ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„­ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„”
tstatistic ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ„Æļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„øļ„µļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
• ļ„•ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„»ļ„µļ„®ļ…‚ļ„: ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ,   ,  
󼩺󼩻 ļ„©ļ…„  
tdistribution ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›    ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ   ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„’ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ŗļ…„   ,
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„³ļ…œļ„®  ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚     ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„”  , tdistribution ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ : "ļ„•ļ„§ļ…„ļ„›
, 
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„¶ļ„›ļ……ļ„¶ 
ļ„
,  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„’ļ„™  ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…ƒļ„ ļ„Ŗļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ„’ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ " 
ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„Æļ…†ļ„”ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„  - ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„¢ļ„ļ…§ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ-ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ     ,   ļ„’ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ŗ     ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„øļ…œļ„§
ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„œļ…‚ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
ó¹¶“ó¹¶”ó¹¶•ó¹¶–ó¹¶—ó¹¶˜ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„²ļ„’ļ„ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„ø
•  : ļ„§ļ…‡ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„ŗļ…‰ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„›ļ…œļ„³  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…ˆ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ,  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„³ļ„®ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®, 
 ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„® ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   
• ļ„‘ļ„©ļ„¢ ļ„© ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ :ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ„žļ…žļ„„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ ,  ļ„¶ļ„” ttest ztest ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ
 ļ…ƒļ„øļ„»ļ…‚ļ„µļ„› 
• :ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ   ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„   ,    ļ„›ļ…œļ„³  , ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ 
ļ„¬ļ„µļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„®ļ…‡ ļ„ŗļ…Šļ„Æļ„¶ ļ„’ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  
ó¹¶œó¹¶Ÿó¹¶ó¹¶žó¹¶ ó¹¶”ó¹¶¢ó¹¶£ó¹¶¤ó¹¶„ó¹¶¦ó¹¶§ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„¢   ļ„   
1. ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ :
ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡ ļ„“ļ„» nāˆ’1n-1 ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„     ļ„“ļ…žļ„› tļ„øļ…œļ„§    
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
2. ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„ļ……ļ„©:
o ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…€ļ„µ   ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„Ŗļ…„ī„”
o ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ = 0 (df > 1 ļ„¶ļ„”)
o ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„‘ļ…œļ„ŗ = v/(vāˆ’2)v/(v-2) (df > 2 ļ„¶ļ„”)
o  ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ  ļ„Æļ…†ļ„”ļ…‚ļ„ī„”
o   ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µ  
o df → āˆž   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ„Æļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
ó·˜¹ó·˜“ó·˜µó·˜¶ó·˜·ó·˜øļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„  ļ„‘ļ„­ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ„»ļ…‚ļ„µļ„›  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
 : ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ     ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®   ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„   ļ„²ļ„µļ…‹ļ„ŗļ…‡ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ
ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„— 
 ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ā€”ļ„ŗļ„³ļ„µļ…†ļ„Æļ„Ŗļ…‚,  ļ„Æļ…†ļ„”ļ…‚ļ„,  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚,   ļ„øļ…œļ„§
ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„›ļ„®ļ„øļ„µļ„¢ļ…Šļ„ŗā€”ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ    ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ 
ļ„
ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„øļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„°ļ…‚ļ„µļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„  
ļ„
, ļ„ŗļ„ļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„³ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚  : ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„¹ļ…ƒļ„ ļ„Ŗļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  
  ļ„¶ļ„”  
 ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„‘ļ„ļ„¶ļ…„  ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‹ļ„ļ…‡, ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„ļ…‹ļ„ŗļ…‡ļ„„, "ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„"   
ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ…‹,  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚    ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¢ļ„›ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„²ļ„µļ…‹ļ„ŗļ…‡ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ī„”
 ļ„-
5. (ļ…”) 500 ļ…ƒļ„øļ„‘ļ„›ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , 280 ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„œ ļ„©  ļ„¶ļ…‡  ļ„— ļ„ļ„—      ļ„œ ļ„©
 ļ„¶ļ…‡   
ļ„
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„³ļ…œļ„®  ļ„» ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„   ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ ?
(ļ„‘) Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„•ļ„Æļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ ļ„    
ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ:ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„Æļ…œļ„§  ļ„ŗļ„µļ„øļ…‡ļ„œļ„©   ļ„©ļ…„  
ļ„
ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„    ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ļ…„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„®ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¶  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‡    , ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡ ļ„¶ļ…‹ļ„›   ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„•
ļ„
 ,   ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„
ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„’ļ„¶ļ…‡- ļ„žļ……ļ…œļ„³ļ„¬ļ…‚   ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ŗļ…„ ļ„ŗļ„±ļ„¾ļ…„ļ„’ļ„   ļ„ļ„µļ„³ ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„²ļ……ļ…œļ„¶ļ„®  ļ„’ļ„®ļ…œ 
 , ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›     ļ„ŗļ……ļ„®ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„µļ…„  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„µļ…‹ļ„„ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„ŗļ„»ļ……ļ…œ ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„®,
ļ„®ļ„ļ„µ ļ„›ļ…Žļ„ŗļ„¶ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©     ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ„æļ…‚ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ   ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­  - ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ 
- ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„•ļ„» ļ„‘ļ„ļ„¶ļ…‡  ļ„¶ļ„”      ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ 
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›     ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„›ļ…Žļ„ŗļ„¶ 500 ļ„¶ļ…‹ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ŗļ„µļ„øļ…‡ļ„œļ„©   ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„® 
ļ…ƒļ„ļ„©ļ„Ŗļ…„  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ , ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¶ļ„ ļ„ŗļ„Æ ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ :
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
• 280 ļ„¶ļ…‹ļ„› ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„œ ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡ 
• 220 ļ„¶ļ…‹ļ„›  ļ„œ ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡ 
, ļ„•ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  : " 
ļ„
ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶    ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ ?" 
  ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„øļ…‡ļ„œļ„© ļ„Ŗļ…Œ   ļ„Æļ„øļ…‡ļ„ļ…‚  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„  
ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„•ļ„©ļ…„ ļ„Æļ„øļ…‡ļ„ļ…„,  ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„©ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ…ƒļ„„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„    
 ļ„ (ļ…”):  
ļ„
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„³ļ…œļ„®  ļ„» ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶     ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ ?
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…„  ',  ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»  , "280 220   
ļ„
,  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶  ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ "
 ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡ ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„œļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡   
ļ„
ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ„¬ļ…‡ī„” ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Æļ……ļ…žļ„”ļ„©ļ…‚  :  ļ„“ļ„»
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ„³ļ…ļ„›ļ…‚   , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¶ļ…‹ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„Æļ„ŗļ…œļ„¬ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
 ?
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„•ļ„» ļ„«ļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡  ļ„¶ļ„” Z  ļ„›ļ…œļ„³   Z  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„   ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ„»
ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„‘ļ„®ļ……ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„Ŗ  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‚ 
 1: ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®  ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„² ļ…ƒļ„¹ļ„Ŗ 
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„  ļ„¹ļ„±ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , 
ļ„
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ 
ļ„
 ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„:
•  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„® (Hā‚€):ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶     
• ļ…ƒļ„øļ„›ļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„Æļ„› ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„® (H₁):ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‡  
ļ„

ļ„ļ…ƒļ„©ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ',  ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ   ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 50% ļ„¶ļ…‹ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„œļ…‚ļ„­ļ…‚ 
    :
• ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„øļ„Ŗ ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„œļ…‚ļ„©  = 500 Ɨ 0.5 = 250
•  ļ„œļ…‚ļ„©   = 500 Ɨ 0.5 = 250
 2: ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„øļ…‡ļ„œļ…‹
ļ„ŗļ„µļ„øļ…‡ļ„œļ„© ļ„Ŗļ…Œ:
•  ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„œļ…‚ļ„©  = 280
•   ļ„œļ…‚ļ„©  = 220
ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‡ ļ„ļ„—  ļ„‘ļ„®ļ……ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„Ŗ ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„œļ…‚ļ„© ļ„øļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ = 280 – 250 = 30
, ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„©    ļ…ƒļ„›  30  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„“ļ…œļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ…‚   ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶
ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„   ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…œļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„     
 3:   ļ„¶ļ„” Z ļ„°  ļ„¶ ļ„ļ…† 
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ„„ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  Z ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„“ļ„» :
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡:
• p =   (ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ )
• P =   (  )
• n =  
ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚ :
 4: Z ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ 
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , 
ļ„
 Z ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶   5% ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„ø ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ ' ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„:
• -  :  Z ā‰ˆ ±1.96
2.68 > 1.96 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ, 
ļ„
 ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„”
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„ :ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ļ…„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„®     ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„®ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¶  ļ„¶ļ…‹ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶  ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ ,  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„   ļ„‘ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ„ø 
 ļ„ (b): Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„•ļ„Æļ„“ļ…‹ļ„
 ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ 
ļ„
ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’  ļ…ƒļ„› Z  ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ļ…„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ 
 , ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„Æļ…žļ„”ļ…‡   Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„ļ…žļ„¶ ,   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ„ø 
ļ„
 
ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®ļ…„  ļ„„ļ…†ļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…žļ„„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„¬ ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ  ,  ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ -ļ„ŗļ…œļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…žļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„»ļ…žļ„¶  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ļ„µ 
Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§, ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…Šļ„§ļ„µļ„§  ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ , ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„žļ…œļ„„ļ…„-      ' ļ„›ļ…ˆļ„¬ļ…ƒļ„µļ„Ŗ
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…Šļ„§ļ„µļ„§ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„øļ…„ļ„—ļ„¹ļ„® ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚   Z ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„Æļ……ļ„’ļ„“ļ…œļ„„ ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ
ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„®ļ…„  ,  ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…Šļ„§ļ„µļ„§ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„øļ…„ļ„—ļ„¹ļ„® ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„Æļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„ : ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…‚  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„œļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 , ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ„¶ļ…‚  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶
ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„œļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 ,   ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…‚  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„•ļ…žļ„  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„œļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 
Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„•ļ„Æļ„“ļ…‹ļ„
1.  ļ„­ļ„® ļ„      ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®  ļ„  ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„  
• 
ļ„
 ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…„ 
• Z  ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„­ļ…‚ļ„µļ„Ŗ    ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„
 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‚ 
• : ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„›    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ ļ„šļ„°ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„”ļ„® ļ„›ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ ļ„šļ„®ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„”ļ„®
ļ„›ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ 
2. ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²   ļ„ ļ„¶ļ…žļ„²ļ„©
• Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„•ļ„Æļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ…„ 
• ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„© ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„•ļ…žļ„Æļ„µ, ļ„»ļ…‡ļ„¦ļ…‚ļ„, ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ…žļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
• :  ļ„ļ…žļ„¶  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚   ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„ ļ……ļ…ƒļ„©ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„Æļ…„ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  80% ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›   ?
3.  ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„ļ„›ļ„µļ„®
• Z  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹  '   ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„ŗļ…‰ļ…žļ„„ļ…‚ļ„     ļ„’ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ 
•  ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ,   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„’ļ„µļ„«ļ…„ ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„Æļ…„ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„•ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„  Z  ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗ 
 ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„•ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„»ļ„Æļ…‚ļ„¦ļ…„ļ„’ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„»ļ„Ŗļ„µ  
• ļ„“ļ„» ļ„œļ…‡ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„, ļ„‘ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„¬ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„›   ļ„³ļ……ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ„›ļ„© ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„¹ ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„³ļ„¬ļ„¬ļ„ļ…‚ļ„µ 
4. ļ„•ļ„¬ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ„øļ…žļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„“ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µļ„©
• ļ„•ļ„¬ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„   ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ„øļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„ļ„µļ…‚ļ„®ļ…„  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„›ļ…œļ„„ļ„µļ…‹ļ„¶ ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µļ„„ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ
 
• : ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„›    ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ļ„µ  ļ„±ļ…‹ļ„¶ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ„ŗ ļ„ŗļ„øļ…„ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ„“ļ…‹ļ„
ļ„ŗļ…„ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ„µļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ 
•  Z   ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„žļ…žļ„„ , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…žļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„’  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ…‡ļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚

5. ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¢   ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®
• ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¢ļ„›ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„ŗļ„µļ„øļ…‡ļ„œļ„©  ļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„’ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© , ļ„®ļ„øļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…„ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   
ļ„¬ļ„œļ„¶ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾ļ…„    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„” Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  
• :  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› 
ļ„
    
ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„®  
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
6. ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„Ŗ  ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„œļ„³ ļ„Æļ…„ļ„±ļ…œļ„­ļ„®
• Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„±ļ…Šļ„›ļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„µļ„„ļ„µļ„® ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…„ļ„’ļ„
ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ„žļ„„ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„    
• : ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„°ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ„„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­   ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚  
ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„©ļ…‚ī„”
7.   ļ„   
•  ļ„’ļ„±ļ…‚ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„     ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„˜ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , Z ļ„„ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„­ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„”    
• : ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„³ļ……ļ…œļ…ƒļ„§ļ„’ļ„  ļ„›ļ……ļ„æļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„•ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„”   , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…‚ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„ ļ…‹ļ„© ļ„Æļ„ŗļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„   
  ļ„¶ ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…žļ„ŗ (a)  ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…žļ„ŗ (b)
ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„     ļ„•ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…žļ„¹ļ„„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„  ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„¶ ļ„•ļ„Æļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ…‚ļ„ 
 ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„:
• ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶   ļ„œļ…‚ļ„© ļ„øļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ„¶ļ„” Z   ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„Æļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
• Z ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„³ļ…ļ„›ļ…‚   
•  ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„­ļ…‚ļ„ļ„Ŗ ļ„¶ļ„ļ„²ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡   ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…žļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„’ ' ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ…†    : ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ 
ļ„ŗļ„›ļ…‹ļ„µļ…‚ļ„    ,  ļ„¹ļ…‡ļ„‘ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„’ļ„ 
 ļ„¹ļ„±ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„  ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ   ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ  - ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ…ƒļ„œļ„’, ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„±ļ…‚ļ„æļ…„,
, ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„Ŗ - ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„øļ„Ŗ, ļ„Æļ…„ļ„³ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„©ļ„Ŗ   ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  
 
ļ…ƒļ„ļ„©ļ„Ŗļ…„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„©ļ…„
ļ„ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„®ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¶  ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
 ,   ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„–ļ„® ļ„›ļ…Žļ„ŗļ„¶  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„³ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„    ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ„»
    ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ„æļ…‚  ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„     ļ„•ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€  ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µ

ļ„
 ļ„•ļ„» ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ…‚ļ„” ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„¶ļ„” Z   ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  
• ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…žļ„¹ļ„„ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ 
•    ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  , ļ„•ļ„» ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„       
ļ„
 , ļ„“ļ„»
 
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„¶ļ…‹ļ„› ļ„œļ……ļ„¹ ļ„µļ…ƒļ„»ļ„©ī„”
 ļ„¬ļ…ļ„µļ…‚ļ„®, ļ„›ļ…Žļ„ŗļ„¶ Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§    , ļ„“ļ„» ļ„³ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„ŗļ…†ļ„ŗ   ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„Æļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„    ļ„¬ļ……ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„µ 
ļ„œļ…‚ļ„©ļ…‡,   ļ„œļ…‚ļ„©ļ…‡, ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„“ļ…žļ„«ļ…Œ ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ ļ…‹ļ„© ļ„³ļ……ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„³ļ…‚ļ„    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„     
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„•ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„  - ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‚   ļ„›ļ…žļ„ ļ…‡ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ„øļ…‚ļ„”ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„
ļ„°ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„
ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„µļ…œļ„¹ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ :
1. ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶    ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­ļ…„:500   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶ ļ„œļ…‚ļ„©  (280)  ļ„œļ…‚ļ„© ļ„øļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„ (220)
ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ„’ļ„¬ļ…‚   ļ„¶ļ„” Z   ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  , 
ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬ 
ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ   ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„  ļ„®ļ„ļ„µ ļ„›ļ…Žļ„ŗļ„¶ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„‘ļ„®ļ……ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ '  
  ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„«-    ļ„’ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…„ī„”
2. Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„˜ļ„Æļ„¶ļ…„ļ„›ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„®:Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„±ļ„»ļ……ļ„Æļ…žļ„œļ…„ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„¬   ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„ ,
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„, ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ„øļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„“ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µļ„©, ļ„ŗļ„›ļ…‹ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  , ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„    
ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¢ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„ 
Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„¶ļ…Šļ„ŗ 
ļ„
ļ„ŗļ…œļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œ , 
ļ„
ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…žļ„¹ļ„„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œ  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„,  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µļ…‚ļ„  
ļ„¶ļ„ļ…‚  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„,     ļ„¶ļ…‰  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„” ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„®ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¶ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ ļ…ļ„¶  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„
, ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„   -ļ„ŗļ…œļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…žļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„’, Z ļ„øļ…œļ„§  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„®   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
  
6. ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ„¹ ļ„¶ ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,  ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„œļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‡:

ļ„’ļ„› 
  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ
ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„ 
ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„  
1
10
15
90
2
12
14
108
5% ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ '  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ  ļ„     ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„  
ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ:ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…žļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„’ ļ„ŗļ…‰ļ…žļ„„ļ„‘ļ…žļ„Æ  
ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ :
•  1:
o ļ„’ļ„› :n1=10
o  :xˉ1=15
o ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„  :ļ„˜ļ…žļ„ŗ ļ„˜ļ…žļ„ŗ 1=90
•  2:
o ļ„’ļ„› :n2=12
o  :xˉ2=14
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
o ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„  :ļ„˜ļ…žļ„ŗ ļ„˜ļ…žļ„ŗ 2 = 108
ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 5% ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„ø  ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ '  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„“ļ„» F-
  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ   ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„›ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„› - ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚  , ļ„“ļ…žļ„› - ļ…ƒļ„øļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æ  
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®   ļ„ ļ…‹ļ„©
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
 ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„     ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„,   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ F-
 ,   ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„   ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ    ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„•ļ…žļ„Æļ„µļ„¶ļ…„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›- ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„©
ļ„¶ļ„” ( ļ„¶ļ„”), 
ļ„
ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¹ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡ ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„”
ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‡ ļ„ļ„— ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„   ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ  ļ„  ļ„ļ„©ļ„® 
  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„“ļ„» :
•  1 ļ„¶ļ„”:
•  2 ļ„¶ļ„”:
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¹   ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ :
v1=n1āˆ’1=9,v2=n2āˆ’1=11
  ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„“ļ„³  ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶
ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„ŗļ…ļ„°ļ„„ļ„øļ…‡ļ„‘ļ„µ   ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ , 
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„ ļ„µļ…ˆļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ' 
  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„:
 ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ„“ļ„» :
ļ„˜ļ„°ā‰ˆ1.0185
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ   ,  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„“ļ„» ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…žļ„¹ļ„„ ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '  ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ„µ
ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„œļ„¶ 
ļ„
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ī„”
-ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…„ļ„¹ļ„„ļ…„ļ„›ļ…‹ļ„© (ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ-)
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’
• ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„­  :
ļ„
5% ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ '  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬ 
ļ„

• ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’:  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„®
 
ļ„
 ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‡ ļ„ļ„—  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ (1010  9.829.82)   ,  F-ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚
  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
 
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ :  ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„   ', ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' 
 
ļ„Æļ…„ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’  ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…žļ„¹ļ„„ļ„Ŗ ļ„¶ļ„” -- ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ
• ļ„‘ļ…œļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„³ ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„’ļ„®:5% ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ ',  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„³ļ…œļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’   
ļ„­   ļ„  ļ„ ļ…œļ„ļ…‡ ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„²ļ„’ļ„ŗ 
F- ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„¶ļ„”,  ļ„¹ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„      :
•  :
o ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ   
•  ļ„­  :
o   ļ„¶ļ„ļ„²ļ„  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„øļ…œļ„§ļ…„    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚   ļ„¶ļ„”
F- ļ„ļ…‰ļ„µ-  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„øļ…‡ļ„¬ļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ; ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„µļ„”ļ…‡ ļ„øļ…œļ„§ļ…‚ļ„  ,  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ -
 ļ„„ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„   ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…‚ ļ„ŗļ…‰ļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„ļ…‚ļ„
ļ„¶ļ„”,  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›    
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
•   ļ„ļ……ļ„©ļ„øļ…žļ„Ŗ :
o   ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‡ ļ„ļ„— ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„æļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„±ļ…œļ…ƒļ„­ļ„Ŗ   ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„­ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ
 ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ  ļ„ļ„” ; 
ļ„
SS ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ S2 ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…ˆ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„Øļ…œļ„   
• ļ„Æļ…„ļ„ŗļ…œļ„   ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ :
o ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚     ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ , ļ…ƒļ„øļ„»ļ…‚ļ„µļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µ (ļ„“ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ
ļ„¹ļ……ļ…žļ„­ļ„Ŗļ…‚, ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„ŗļ…‰ļ…žļ„„ļ„‘ļ…žļ„Æ)   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© ļ…ƒļ„øļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ    ,
ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ…ƒļ„›    ļ„„ļ…„-ļ„„ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   
 ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„µļ„Ŗ ļ„ļ„Ŗļ„›  
 ļ„„ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„’ļ„ '  ļ„³ļ„©ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„’ļ„  "ļ…ƒļ„œļ…œļ„§ļ„©" ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚    ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„„ļ…„ļ…‡     ļ„›ļ…ˆļ„¬ļ„µ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
  , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ 
ļ„
  :  ļ„•ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‚ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„³ļ…ļ„›ļ…‚  ? F-
 ļ„“ļ…žļ„›    ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ļ…‚ , ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…„ļ…‰ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„    ,  ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ , "ļ„“ļ„» ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ 5% ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ
' ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„© ļ„¶ļ„”   "   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ,  ļ„¶ļ„ļ„²ļ„ ļ„¢ļ……ļ„æļ„øļ…‚ļ„  - ļ„“ļ…œļ„®ļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„›
 ļ„›ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ , "ļ„•ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  "
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„‘ļ…žļ„ļ…‡  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ„µļ…žļ„«  ļ„•
ļ„
 
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„•
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬ 
ļ„
 ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚:
•   ļ„§ ļ„‘ļ„ļ„¶   ļ„­ļ„® ļ„    ,
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› -ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„˜ļ„ļ„ŗ ļ„„ļ…„-
 ļ„‘ļ…žļ„ļ…‡    ( ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„˜ļ„ļ„ŗ ļ„­ļ…‚ļ„µļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„Ŗļ…ƒļ„»ļ„Ŗ -  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
)
•  
ļ„
ļ„²ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„œ  ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„¾    ,ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„›
ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„     ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ ,  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ„›ļ…žļ„¦ļ…‚   
ļ„žļ„„ļ…‚ļ„•ļ„© ļ„¶ļ„”    
ļ„‘ļ…œļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„³ 
• ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’: ļ„ļ…žļ„¶   ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„®  
ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ;  
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
-ļ„§ļ…„
7. ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„ ļ„›ļ…œļ„Æļ„®ļ…„ ļ„    ļ„ļ„§ ļ„  ļ„„  ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ   ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ   ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„   ļ„  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„
 ļ„›ļ…œļ„Æļ„®ļ…„    ļ„ļ„§ ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ…‡  ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ„› ļ„ '   ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ…œļ„¬ļ„ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ (  ļ„ )
 ļ„•ļ„©  ļ„¶ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„µļ„›   ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…„   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‡ ļ„ļ„— :
 ļ„ļ„§ 1
 ļ„ļ„§ 2
 ļ„ļ„§ 3
 ļ„ļ„§ 4
20
19
21
15
23
15
19
17
18
17
20
16
17
20
17
18
16
16
 ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®  ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„›   ļ„ļ„§  ļ„„  ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„» ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ 
ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ:ļ„„  ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ      ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„ : ļ„    ļ„ļ„§ ļ„   ļ„©ļ…„
  ļ…ƒļ„› 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„ ļ„›ļ…œļ„Æļ„®ļ…„   ,    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„žļ……ļ…œļ„³ļ„¬ļ…‡ ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ„›ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„¶ļ„”
ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ…œļ„³ļ…‡ļ„øļ…‚ļ„µ     ' -ļ„°ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…‚ ,    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„„ļ……ļ…žļ„„ļ„©    ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„œ
ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ  ļ„œļ„µļ„  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡    ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„’ļ„•ļ„©   ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„°ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„“ļ„» : ļ„³ļ…‰ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ„›ļ…‚ļ„ ' ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ„æļ…‡ ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§     ? , 
 ļ„øļ…‚ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„µļ…‡ļ„œļ…‚  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›     ļ„œļ„µļ…‚ļ„±  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ ,  ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„ŗļ……ļ„µļ…žļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ„Æļ…„ļ„²ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„øļ„Ŗ   ļ„±ļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„µļ…žļ„œ-ļ„µļ„œļ…‚ļ„‘  ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ„Ŗ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  
ļ„
 
, ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„“ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æ   ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’   ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§  ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„–ļ„Ŗļ…‚ 
  ,  ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„µļ„›ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„„ļ…œļ„      
ļ„
ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡ī„” ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„ŗļ…†ļ…ƒļ„ ļ„Ŗ  
ļ„¶ļ„”, 
ļ„
  ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„       
ļ„
  ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
 ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ…‡  ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ„›ļ…‚ļ„ ' ļ„ŗļ„«ļ…‚ļ…ƒļ„Æļ„Ŗ    ļ„»ļ„¾ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ„³ļ…„ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„•ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„® 
ļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ„§   ļ„³ļ„»ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„’ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„ļ„µļ…‚ļ„®ļ…„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ,    ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„œļ…‚ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ :
 ļ„ļ„§ 1
 ļ„ļ„§ 2
 ļ„ļ„§ 3
 ļ„ļ„§ 4
20
19
21
15
23
15
19
17
18
17
20
16
17
20
17
18
16
16
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
  ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„  ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡ , ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ 
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€
 ļ„³ļ…ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„Æļ…„ļ„ŗļ„Ŗļ…„  ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡ ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„?
   ļ„¶ļ„”, 
ļ„
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„¬ ļ„øļ…žļ„¶  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© ļ„’ļ…€
ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„˜ļ„ļ„ŗ (ANOVA) ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚  ANOVA ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„­ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„     ļ„’ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’
ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’   ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ   ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , 
    ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ 
 1: ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„® ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…‚  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„’ļ„®  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ :
•  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„® (Hā‚€):ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„“ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…„  ļ„ļ…ƒļ„©ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ',
• ļ…ƒļ„øļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„› ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„® (H₁):ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹-ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ…œļ„¬ļ„ļ…„ ļ„¬ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„’ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…„ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„³ļ……ļ„›ļ…žļ„¬ļ„³ļ…‡ ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚    ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„¹  
ļ„
ļ„³ļ…œļ„®ļ„¬ļ…‡ ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„›
 ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§   ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ    
ļ„
ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ī„”
 2:  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„øļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„Ŗ 
 ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„’ļ„™  ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„œļ…„ļ„—:
• ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ 1: 20, 23, 18, 17
• ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ 2: 19, 15, 17, 20, 16
• ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ 3: 21, 19, 20, 17, 16
• ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ 4: 15, 17, 16, 18
ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„® ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„™ ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„© 
ļ„
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ī„” ļ„“ļ„ŗļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„‘ļ„ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ……ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„¾ļ…‚ļ„”ļ„® ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ…‚ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ ,
  ļ„¶ļ„”, 
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„’ļ„µļ…„ ļ„°ļ…‚ļ„µļ„³ļ…†ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ANOVA ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ…†   ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„”
 3:  ļ„­ļ„® ļ„  ļ„ļ„©ļ„® 
ļ„‘ļ„ļ„¶ļ…‚   ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„“ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ (ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ )  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚   ļ„’ļ„™ ļ„•ļ„®ļ…§ļ…‚ļ„ 
ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„®  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚ :
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
1.  ļ„ļ„§ 1  :
2.  ļ„ļ„§ 2  :
3.  ļ„ļ„§ 3  :
4.  ļ„ļ„§ 4  :
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , 
ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„©ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ, ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ…‚ļ„¶ ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„:
ļ„ļ…„ļ…Šļ„§  ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„“ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„ ļ…„ ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„
 , ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„®ļ„¾ļ„µļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾  
 4: ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„²  
ANOVA ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…‚   ļ„ŗļ„µļ…‹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„    ļ„›ļ…œļ„³  :
1. ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„› - ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ (SSB):ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§   ļ„ļ…„ļ…Šļ„§  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‚ 
2.   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗ (SSW):ļ…ƒļ„øļ„‘ļ„›ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„ļ„Ŗ ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„“ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ…œļ„¬ļ„ļ…„ ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„  
ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„®ļ…„ ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…„ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
 4a: ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„    ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›   (SSB)
 ļ„“ļ„» :
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡:
   ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚:
 4b: ļ„øļ„µļ„ ļ„    ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ  (SSW)
 ļ„“ļ„» :
 5: F-ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‰ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ„›  ļ„ļ„©ļ„® 
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
, 
ļ„
ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„:
1.  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„:
2. ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„øļ„µļ„:
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , F-ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ„“ļ„» :
 6: F   ļ„®  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„® ļ„¶ 
•   ļ…ƒļ„ļ…ƒļ„©ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ F = 1.67
•  F = 3.34
1.67 < 3.34 ļ„Ŗļ…Œ, 
ļ„
 ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æļ„®ļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„µļ…žļ„¬  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„µļ…ƒļ„»ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„”
 7:   ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’
   ļ…ƒļ„›   ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® 
ļ„
  ļ„¹ļ„±ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  
ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ„¬ļ…‡ ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„•ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  
 ļ„³ļ…ļ„›ļ…‡    
ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„„ļ„µļ…žļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„ ļ„›ļ…œļ„Æļ„®ļ…„     , ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ļ…Œ   ļ„ ļ……ļ…ƒļ„©ļ„’ 
 , ļ„žļ…žļ„„ļ…‹ ļ„žļ…žļ„„ ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ   ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…„ļ„¹ļ„„ļ…„ļ„›ļ…‹ļ„© ļ„Ŗļ…Œī„” ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ„Ŗ, ,  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„›ļ„µļ…„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ   
ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‡      ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ    
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
 8:  ļ„©ļ…„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„³ļ„®ļ……ļ…ž ļ„œļ…„  ļ„•ļ„©
   ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„ : 
ļ„
" ļ„Ŗļ…Œ "  ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ„®  ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„¹ļ„® ' ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„›ļ„¶ļ…‡ ,  ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„® 
ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„„ļ…‚ ļ„“ļ„›ļ…žļ„¦ļ…‚   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„©  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ , ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„ŗ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„›  (ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„³ļ…ļ„›ļ…‚)
ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗļ„® ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„¶ ļ„œļ…‡ļ„§ļ„¬ļ…„    ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‡ ļ„ļ„—  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ - ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ 1 19.5   ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…žļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
 ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ 4 16.5   ļ„Ŗļ…žļ„› ļ„ ļ…žļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…‚  - ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‡ ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ„¬ļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ„» ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…‚    ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ 
ļ„“ļ„» ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„¹ļ…‰ļ…žļ„°ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„ļ„—   ļ„ ļ…žļ„œļ„© ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„³ļ…žļ„¦ļ…‚ ļ„¶ļ…žļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ ,  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›
 ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„ŗļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„  
ļ„
  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ…‡    ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…„ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„
 ,  ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…žļ„¹ļ„„  
ļ„

 9: ANOVA ļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
1. ļ„§ ļ„„ ļ„ŗļ…žļ„  ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ„¬ ,  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„¬ļ„µļ„²   ļ„µļ…žļ„œļ„¬ ļ„»ļ…‰ī„”ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
"ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„»ļ„Ŗļ„µ"  , ļ„ŗļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„ ļ…„ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®ļ„¹ļ…„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…‚  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   
2. ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æ     ļ„¶ļ…‡ ļ„°ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ANOVA ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„, 
ļ„
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„®ļ…§ļ…‡ļ„øļ…‚ļ„» ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§
1 ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„ ļ……ļ…ƒļ„©ļ„’ ļ„»ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‡ļ„ļ…‚  ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ 4 ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„®ļ„¾ļ„µļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„¾  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„»ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‡ļ„ļ…‚ī„”
3. ļ„²ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„œ  ļ„œļ…‹ļ„¢ ļ„°ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ       ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„ŗļ„æļ„›ļ…‚ļ„
ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„“ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„       ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„œļ…‚ļ„”   
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„Æļ…„ļ„ļ„„   
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ANOVA  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„“ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„¾ļ…œļ„¬ļ„ļ…„    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  
 ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ļ„  
ļ„
ļ„¬ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’,  ļ„“ļ„›ļ…žļ„¦ļ…‡ , ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„© ,  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ…ƒļ„æļ„’ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
 ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‚ī„” ļ„“ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›   ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„œļ…‚ļ„•
ļ„
 :  ,  ļ„Ŗļ…Œ
  " ļ„Ŗļ…Œ " ļ„ ļ……ļ„©ļ„®  
ļ„
ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚, ļ„ŗļ„ļ…Œ ļ„“ļ„»  ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‚  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æ
ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„ŗļ…„ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„¶ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ 
  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ANOVA   ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„œļ…‚ļ„“ļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ļ„Ŗļ„³ļ„› ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹
ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…„   ļ„¶ļ„”, ļ„‘ļ„ļ„¶ļ…„  ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ 
ļ„
 ' ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„™ļ„ļ…‡, ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„„ļ…‚ļ„“ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„ŗļ„³ļ„Ŗ
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„±ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„§ļ…‚ļ„  
ļ„
 - ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„®  ļ„§ļ„µļ…‚ļ„”ļ…ƒļ„øļ…œļ„,   ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„Ŗļ…„  ļ„µļ…žļ„œ-ļ„µļ„œļ…‚ļ„‘   
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
8. ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„©  ?  ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„­   ļ„ '   ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  
    ANOVA  ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ 
ļ„•ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ:ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„¹ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„¹ļ„©
ANOVA ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›ļ„æļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„   ļ„“ļ„» ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„ ļ„© ļ„¶ļ„”  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ…œļ„® ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„øļ…žļ„­  
ļ„³ļ„»ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„øļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ„® ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡  ļ„ŗļ…‚ļ„­ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„        ( ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
ļ„

), ANOVA ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„ŗļ„µļ…‹ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„    ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„›ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„»ļ…žļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„’ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„øļ…œļ„§ļ„¬ļ…‚ , ļ…ƒļ„°ļ„µ ļ„³ļ……ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ļ„›ļ„©
  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚   ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…„ 
• ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„  :F-  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  "  ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ" ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚   "  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ"
ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚  :
 F ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…‚ , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ    ļ„ŗļ…œļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ„®ļ…‚ 
• ļ„“ļ„»    ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…œļ„¬ :"    ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡ ?" ļ„“ļ„» ļ„“ļ„» 
ļ„
ļ„¬ļ…žļ„ŗļ„¬ļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„»ļ„æļ…‡ 
ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡ ;  ļ„¶ļ„”, 
ļ„
- ļ„„ļ…‰ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‚ļ„ (, )  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ  ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ī„”
• ļ„“ļ„» ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡ ļ„øļ„µļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ ļ„¢ ļ„ļ„¬ :ļ„œļ…‡ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„±ļ…‚ļ„æļ…„ (ļ„œļ…‚ļ„¬ļ…‚ļ„   ), ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ (ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ…ƒļ„œļ„’  ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…„ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„’ļ„ 
 ļ„‘ļ…œļ„›), ļ„³ļ„®ļ…‹ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ļ„® (ļ„“ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„Æļ…„ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…ƒļ„µļ„’), ļ„•ļ„¬ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ (ļ„Æļ…„ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…ƒļ„µļ„’ ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„”ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„)
ļ„˜ļ„®ļ…‹ļ„ø ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„­   ļ„
F- '   ļ„¶ļ„”,  ļ„¹ļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Æļ…†ļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„»ļ…‹ļ„©ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„»ļ…„ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ :
•  :ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„© ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡  ļ„•ļ„¶ļ…œļ„žļ„©ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ (ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ…ƒļ„›, ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„
ļ„¶ļ…‡ļ„œļ…‚-ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„œļ…‚  - ) ļ„Æļ…žļ„œļ„Æļ…‚ļ„Ŗ   ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„›ļ„¶ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ 
•  ļ„­  :  ļ„¶ļ„”,   ļ„¶ļ„ļ„²ļ„  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„øļ…œļ…ƒļ„§ļ„’ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‚ 
ANOVA  ļ„Æļ…„ļ„ŗļ„«ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„”  , ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ    ļ„’ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ…‚ļ„  
• ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ  ļ„    : ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„ļ„²ļ„   (ļ„»ļ…‹ļ„³ļ…‹ļ„ŗļ„ŗļ…„ļ„§ļ…‡ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…„ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„„ļ…„) 

ļ„
, ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„   ANOVA ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„„ļ…„ļ…‚ļ„ļ„ŗļ„°ļ…‚ļ„µļ„³   ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
•   ļ„µļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„›ļ„Ŗ :ļ„“ļ„»   ļ„ļ…‰ļ„µ-ļ„µļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„œļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…„ļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ
ļ„³ļ…œļ„®ļ„¬ļ…‚  (ļ„“ļ…žļ„›- ļ„³ļ…‚ļ„§ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ) - ANOVA  ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '  ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…„ļ„’ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ 
 
• ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„µ-  (  ANOVA ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ ): ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ŗ  ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„¶ļ„ ļ„ŗļ„Æ ;  ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ
 , ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„ /ļ…ƒļ„³ļ„›ļ„ŗļ„§- ANOVA  ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ 
•   :ļ„’ļ„±ļ…‚ļ„¬ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ    ļ„Æļ…„ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„­ 
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-    -  
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ„›ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ   ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„øļ„¢ļ…Œ  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›- ANOVA  ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ; -  
   ļ„Æļ……ļ…žļ„”ļ„¬ļ…‡  ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„•ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡ 
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-  ļ„˜ļ„®ļ…‹ļ„ø
• ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„¾ :ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  (ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ…ƒļ„›, k ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µļ…‚ļ„   ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„)
•  ļ„§ļ„¶:
• ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®  :
o ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ()
o ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ (ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„)
• ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ:  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ„¹ļ…„ļ…‡ļ„©ļ…„ļ„±ļ…žļ„­ ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ()  ļ„“ļ…žļ„› ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µ
 
•  ļ„¶    ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’: k ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ  ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ ?
-  ļ„˜ļ„®ļ…‹ļ„ø
• ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„¾ :  (ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ…ƒļ„›, ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ…ƒļ„øļ„­ļ…„    ),    ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ ;
ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„       
•  ļ„§ļ„¶:
• ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®  :
o  A ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ 
o   ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ 
o  
o ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„
• ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„¢ļ„¬ļ…Œ:
ļ„
 ļ„ŗļ„Æļ…žļ„¹ļ„„ ļ„²ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„±ļ…‚ļ„©ļ…„ļ„’ļ„  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„ ļ…‚ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡    ļ„“ļ…žļ„›    '
ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„²ļ„µ  
•  ļ„¶    ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’:  A ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„øļ…žļ„œ-ļ„øļ…žļ„œ ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…‡ ?  B? 
  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ„œļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…‡ ?
ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
• ļ„›  ļ„  ļ…ƒļ„ļ„©ļ„Ŗļ…„:ļ„“ļ…žļ„›- ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  1 ; - ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  2  (ļ„Æļ„¶ļ…žļ„ŗ ļ„“ļ…œļ„„ļ„µļ…‰ļ„›ļ„¹ļ„®)
• ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’:ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-ļ„Æļ…‚ļ„ŗļ„æā€”ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µī„” -ļ„Æļ…‚ļ„ŗļ„æā€”ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„œ ļ„Æļ…„ļ„²ļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„    ļ„ļ…‰ļ„µ-
ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„æļ„®ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ '  
•  :-ļ„Æļ…žļ„œļ…„ ANOVA ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®    ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„›ļ…œļ„„ļ„µļ…‹ļ„¶     ļ„¹ļ……ļ…žļ„­ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ 
   
• ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„¾   :-   ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’ ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ……ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„Ŗ ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„ļ„²ļ„-ļ„ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ……ļ…ƒļ„¶ļ„Ŗ
ļ…ƒļ„§ļ„¾ļ…‚ļ„”ļ„®   ļ„»ļ……ļ…œļ„¬ļ…„ 
ļ„ŗļ…œļ„›ļ„¶ļ„Æ ļ…ƒļ„ ļ…žļ„Ŗļ„µ: ANOVA  ļ„»
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„»  
• - ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ :ļ„“ļ„»    ļ…ƒļ„›   ļ„›ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ ļ„šļ„ŗļ„Ŗ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„®ļ…„   

• -ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ :ļ„“ļ„»    ļ…ƒļ„› ļ…ƒļ„øļ„‘ļ„›ļ„Ŗļ…„ļ„ļ„Ŗ ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ…„ļ„œļ„© ļ„•ļ„»ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„’ļ„¶ļ…‡-
 ļ…ƒļ„›ļ…œļ„®ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„œļ…œļ„§ļ…‡  
•   ļ„ŗļ…žļ„ ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„  ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡ :-ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„® -ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„® ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„¶ļ…Œ
 ļ„Ŗļ…ļ„µ ' ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…‚   
ļ„›ļ…œļ„³  : 5% '  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ  ļ„    (F-)
ļ„Ŗļ……ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ…ƒļ„¬ļ…žļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’ :
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
 1:  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ  ļ„  ļ„ļ„©ļ„® 
ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„µļ„Æļ…žļ„œ  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚:
 3:  ļ…ƒļ„®ļ„“ļ„³ (- )
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
 4: ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…žļ„„
•  :H0H_0 ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   
• ļ…ƒļ„øļ„’ļ…ƒļ„œļ„’:5% ļ„Æļ…žļ„­ļ„µ ',  ļ„ļ…žļ„¶    
ļ„
 ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…„ļ„’ļ„ 
 ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ (10  9.82) ļ„¶ļ„ļ„²ļ„ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…„ļ„’ļ„ ; F- ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  
   
ļ…ƒļ„øļ„›ļ„¶ļ…ƒļ„Æļ„› ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®  ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„›ļ„¬ļ…Œ   
•   ļ„­  ļ„¹ļ…žļ„›ļ…„ :   ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ -  (ļ„ļ…‰ļ„µ- ļ„¶ļ„” 
) ' ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ…‚ļ„µ 
•    ļ„’ļ„›   ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡ :  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®    
ANOVA ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®    ļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„›ļ„øļ…ˆ  
 - ļ„˜ļ„®ļ…‹ļ„øļ…‚ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„ , ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„   ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„     ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ ļ„“ļ…žļ„›
ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ…œļ„ļ„¶ MSW ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„        ļ…ƒļ„Æļ„”ļ„¶ļ…‚ F- ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„¶ļ„›ļ……ļ„¶  ļ„Ŗļ„µļ…§ļ…‚ļ„  -ļ„ ļ…‰ļ…žļ„›  
  ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…ˆ  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„¬ļ…„  ( ļ„¶ļ„”,  ļ„„ļ…„- ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„   ļ„„ļ…„-
 ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ  )
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›  ļ„‘ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„˜ļ„® ļ„  ļ„ŗļ…œļ„œļ…‡ļ„Æ
•   :ļ„“ļ…žļ„› F-ļ„ŗļ„„ļ…‰ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„„ļ„› 
ļ„
ļ„ļ„µļ……ļ…žļ„Æ-ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ- ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„µļ„øļ„µļ„Ŗļ„®    ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„ 
 ļ…ƒļ„›   ļ„ļ„µļ……ļ…žļ„Æ  ļ„øļ…žļ„œļ„µļ…‡ 
• ļ„­   ļ„:ļ„ŗļ……ļ„Ŗļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µļ„Ŗļ…‚, , ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  , ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„æļ„®ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ„Ŗļ…‚, ļ„ŗļ…ƒļ„«ļ„µ ,
 
• ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-    - :
o ļ„“ļ…žļ„›-: ļ„“ļ…žļ„›- ,  = ļ…ƒļ„øļ„ ļ„›ļ…‚ļ„µ + ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µī„”
o -ļ„Æļ…žļ„œļ…„:   +  ,  = A + B + AƗB + ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ī„”
• ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗ    (ļ„Æļ…„ļ„“ļ…‹ļ„ļ„¹ ļ„¶  ):
o ļ„øļ„µļ„ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„¢ļ…‹ļ„æļ…‚ļ„ ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„  ļ„ļ„©ļ„®ļ…‚ 
o ļ„•ļ…žļ„Æļ„µ ļ„øļ…žļ„§ļ…‚ ļ„øļ…‡ļ„µļ…„ļ„˜ļ„ļ„ŗ   F
o  ļ„³ļ……ļ…žļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„   ; ļ„“ļ…žļ„«ļ…‡, F ā‰ˆ 1.0185 →  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„ī„”
2ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„›ļ„¹ļ…‚.ļ„›ļ…‚ļ…žļ„³
   
 ļ„ŗļ…œļ„ļ…„ļ„Ŗ  ļ„øļ…žļ„¶ : ANOVA ļ„¢ļ…žļ„¢   ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€ ļ„•ļ…žļ„ ļ…„ ļ„’ļ„øļ…‚ļ„¾ļ…‚ļ„ ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  
ļ„
, ļ„ŗļ„ļ…Œ  
 ļ„ŗļ„³ļ…†ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„¬ļ„µ ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚   ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ   , ļ„“ļ„»    ļ…ƒļ„›  ļ„­ļ……ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„øļ…žļ„  ļ„‘ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ
  ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„ŗļ„µļ…€   ļ„­ļ……ļ„®ļ…‚ļ„    ļ„Ŗļ…Œ ļ„Æļ…ƒļ„»ļ„¶ļ…‚ļ„, 
ļ„
ļ„¢ļ…‚ļ„ļ„   ļ„»ļ…‚ļ„ ļ…ƒļ„› ļ„“ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ (ļ…ƒļ„²ļ…œļ„®ļ„Ŗļ…‚ļ„øļ…‚ļ„)
ļ„“ļ…žļ„›ļ…‹ ļ…ƒļ„¢ļ„»ļ…‡ ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„–ļ„®  ļ„ļ„—  -  F-  ļ…ƒļ„±ļ„¶ļ„›ļ……ļ„¶  ; ļ„¬ļ…‹ļ„øļ…ˆ ļ„“ļ…œļ„Ŗļ„µ  ļ…ƒļ„„ļ„–ļ„® 
ļ„ļ„— ,  ļ„¶ļ„” 
ļ„
ļ„‘ļ…žļ„ļ…‡ ļ„ŗļ…œļ„ļ…„ļ„Ŗ     
"ļ„“ļ„»  ļ…ƒļ„øļ…ƒļ„¬ļ„‘ļ„›  ļ„ ļ„¶ļ„” ļ…ƒļ„­ļ„’ļ„® ļ„® ļ„¶ ļ…ƒļ„Ŗļ„’ļ„µ  ļ…ƒļ„ļ„’    ļ„®ļ…†ļ…œ  ļ„ļ„¶ļ„Ŗļ…„ 
ļ„’ļ„•
ļ„
  ļ„¢ ļ„  ļ„§ļ…‡    ļ„‘ ,  ļ„    ļ„ļ„£ļ…„  ļ„¶ļ„” ļ„±ļ…‡ļ…ƒļ„£ļ„¢ļ„› ļ„³ļ…ƒļ„»ļ„ŗļ…†ļ„ŗ "